Footyntel.

Bundesliga · Mainz

M05 Mainz — Season Outlook

Bundesliga 2026/27 · currently 8th · 7 pts · DWLWL

League tableTitle raceRelegation battle

Win title
<1%
Top 4
7.3%
Relegation
6.1%
Projected points46
Projected finish10th
Most likely finish8th
80% range5th–15th

Where Mainz finish

Champions <1%Top 4 7.3%Mid-tableRelegation 6.1%

Footyntel projects Mainz to finish around 10th in the Bundesliga 2026/27 — most likely 8th, with an 80% range of 5th to 15th — on roughly 46 points. Their chance of winning the title is 0.1%, of top 4 7.3%, and of relegation / play-off 6.1%. On current form they are likely to finish mid-table.

Season trend

How Mainz's title, top 4 and relegation / play-off probabilities have moved.

📈 Trend tracking has just started. This chart shows how the probabilities move through the season — it fills in as daily snapshots build up, so check back in a few days.

Mainz's remaining fixtures

Model win / draw / loss for Mainz in each match (H home, A away).

A  Schalke30·23·47  17 OctH  Bremen67·17·16  24 OctA  Elversberg27·21·52  30 OctH  Bayern15·15·70  7 NovA  Augsburg23·19·57  22 NovH  Union Berlin79·12·9  28 NovA  RB Leipzig10·13·78  5 DecH  Freiburg45·22·33  12 DecH  1. FC Köln69·16·15  19 DecA  Dortmund8·13·79  9 JanH  Hoffenheim60·18·22  13 JanA  Stuttgart18·17·64  16 JanA  SC Paderborn34·24·43  23 JanH  HSV77·14·10  30 JanA  Frankfurt33·19·48  6 FebH  M'gladbach77·13·10  13 FebA  Leverkusen12·14·74  20 FebH  Schalke61·20·19  27 FebA  Bremen33·22·45  3 MarH  Elversberg61·19·20  6 MarA  Bayern3·5·92  13 MarH  Augsburg57·19·23  20 MarA  Union Berlin47·22·32  3 AprH  RB Leipzig35·21·44  10 AprA  Freiburg15·17·68  17 AprA  1. FC Köln34·21·45  24 AprH  Dortmund28·23·49  8 MayA  Hoffenheim24·19·57  15 MayH  Stuttgart50·21·29  22 May

FAQ

Can Mainz win the Bundesliga this season?

Footyntel's model gives Mainz a 0.1% chance of winning the Bundesliga 2026/27 title, currently 8th of 18 clubs by title probability. They are projected to finish around 8th on about 46 points.

Will Mainz be relegated?

The model gives Mainz a 6.1% chance of relegation / play-off this season. Their most likely finish is 8th, with an 80% range of 5th–15th.

Where will Mainz finish in the Bundesliga?

Projected finish: about 10th (most likely 8th), 80% likely between 5th and 15th. Title 0.1%, top 4 7.3%, relegation / play-off 6.1%.