Bundesliga · Title race
Bundesliga 2026/27 Title Race
Updated 11 October 2026 · model projection from 50,000 simulations
League tableRelegation battleFixtures
Bayern lead the Bundesliga 2026/27 title race on the model, winning it in 69.5% of simulations. Bayern 69.5%, Dortmund 17.5%, RB Leipzig 5.2% head the contenders.
Title probability over time
📈 Trend tracking has just started. This chart shows how the probabilities move through the season — it fills in as daily snapshots build up, so check back in a few days.
Contenders
| # | Team | Pts | Title % | Proj pts | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FCB Bayern | 11 | 69.5% | 82 | RB Leipzig 81% |
| 1 | BVB Dortmund | 13 | 17.5% | 72 | @Union Berlin 71% |
| 5 | RBL RB Leipzig | 9 | 5.2% | 64 | @Bayern 8% |
| 4 | B04 Leverkusen | 10 | 4% | 63 | Freiburg 62% |
| 3 | SCF Freiburg | 10 | 2.8% | 59 | Schalke 71% |
| 10 | VFB Stuttgart | 6 | 0.5% | 53 | @HSV 51% |
| 6 | FCA Augsburg | 8 | <1% | 50 | @Elversberg 27% |
FAQ
Who will win the Bundesliga this season?
Footyntel's model makes Bayern the most likely Bundesliga 2026/27 champions at 69.5%, ahead of Dortmund (17.5%) and RB Leipzig (5.2%). A statistical model, not betting advice.