BVB Dortmund — Season Outlook

Q: Can Dortmund win the Bundesliga this season?

Footyntel's model gives Dortmund a 17.5% chance of winning the Bundesliga 2026/27 title, currently 2nd of 18 clubs by title probability. They are projected to finish around 2nd on about 72 points.

Q: Will Dortmund be relegated?

The model gives Dortmund a 0% chance of relegation / play-off this season. Their most likely finish is 2nd, with an 80% range of 1st–5th.

Q: Where will Dortmund finish in the Bundesliga?

Projected finish: about 3rd (most likely 2nd), 80% likely between 1st and 5th. Title 17.5%, top 4 84.3%, relegation / play-off 0%.

Bundesliga 2026/27 · currently 1st · 13 pts · WWWWD

League table Title race Relegation battle

Win title

17.5%

Top 4

84.3%

Relegation

<1%

Projected points72

Projected finish3rd

Most likely finish2nd

80% range1st–5th

Where Dortmund finish

Champions 17.5%Top 4 84.3%Mid-tableRelegation <1%

Footyntel projects Dortmund to finish around 3rd in the Bundesliga 2026/27 — most likely 2nd, with an 80% range of 1st to 5th — on roughly 72 points. Their chance of winning the title is 17.5%, of top 4 84.3%, and of relegation / play-off 0%. On current form they are in the title mix.

Season trend

How Dortmund's title, top 4 and relegation / play-off probabilities have moved.

📈 Trend tracking has just started. This chart shows how the probabilities move through the season — it fills in as daily snapshots build up, so check back in a few days.

Dortmund's remaining fixtures

Model win / draw / loss for Dortmund in each match (H home, A away).

A Union Berlin71·17·12 17 Oct H Frankfurt89·7·4 24 Oct A Bayern13·16·71 31 Oct H Elversberg81·12·7 7 Nov A M'gladbach69·17·14 21 Nov H Leverkusen68·18·15 29 Nov A Schalke53·25·22 5 Dec H Augsburg80·13·8 12 Dec A RB Leipzig30·24·47 19 Dec H Mainz79·13·8 9 Jan A 1. FC Köln60·21·19 13 Jan H Freiburg70·17·13 16 Jan A HSV68·19·13 23 Jan H Hoffenheim82·11·7 30 Jan A SC Paderborn57·24·19 6 Feb H Stuttgart74·15·10 13 Feb A Bremen58·22·20 20 Feb H Union Berlin92·6·2 27 Feb A Frankfurt63·18·19 3 Mar H Bayern39·23·38 6 Mar A Elversberg53·23·24 13 Mar H M'gladbach91·6·2 20 Mar A Leverkusen35·23·42 3 Apr H Schalke80·13·6 10 Apr A Augsburg49·23·28 17 Apr H RB Leipzig61·20·19 24 Apr A Mainz49·23·28 8 May H 1. FC Köln87·9·4 15 May A Freiburg39·25·37 22 May

FAQ

Can Dortmund win the Bundesliga this season?

Footyntel's model gives Dortmund a 17.5% chance of winning the Bundesliga 2026/27 title, currently 2nd of 18 clubs by title probability. They are projected to finish around 2nd on about 72 points.

Will Dortmund be relegated?

The model gives Dortmund a 0% chance of relegation / play-off this season. Their most likely finish is 2nd, with an 80% range of 1st–5th.

Where will Dortmund finish in the Bundesliga?

Projected finish: about 3rd (most likely 2nd), 80% likely between 1st and 5th. Title 17.5%, top 4 84.3%, relegation / play-off 0%.