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Bundesliga · Fixtures

Dortmund vs Mainz — Match Prediction

Bundesliga 2026/27 · Matchday 15 · Sat 9 Jan, 00:00 UTC

Dortmund win
79%
Draw
13%
Mainz win
8%
Most likely score2–0
Projected goals2.9 – 0.8
Over 2.5 goals71%
Both teams score52%
BVBDortmundWWWWD1st · 13 pts
M05MainzDWLWL8th · 7 pts

Ahead of Dortmund v Mainz in the Bundesliga on 9 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Dortmund the most likely outcome at 79%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–0, with projected goals of 2.9 for Dortmund and 0.8 for Mainz. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and 52% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Dortmund vs Mainz?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Dortmund the most likely result at 79%. Full split: Dortmund win 79%, draw 13%, Mainz win 8%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Dortmund vs Mainz?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–0 (Dortmund 2–0 Mainz). Projected goals: Dortmund 2.9, Mainz 0.8.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring.

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