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Bundesliga · Fixtures

Freiburg vs Dortmund — Match Prediction

Bundesliga 2026/27 · Matchday 34 · Sat 22 May, 13:30 UTC

Freiburg win
37%
Draw
25%
Dortmund win
39%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.5 – 1.5
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams score59%
FreiburgWWWD3rd · 10 pts
DortmundWWWWD1st · 13 pts

Ahead of Freiburg v Dortmund in the Bundesliga on 22 May 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Dortmund the most likely outcome at 39%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.5 for Freiburg and 1.5 for Dortmund. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and 59% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Freiburg goals down (↓), Dortmund goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Freiburg 0W · 1D · 1L.

Dortmund4–0Freiburg
Freiburg1–1Dortmund

Recent form

Freiburg
D@ Frankfurt2–2
Wvs M'gladbach5–0
W@ SC Paderborn1–0
Wvs Bremen4–1
Dortmund
Dvs Bremen2–2
W@ Stuttgart1–0
Wvs SC Paderborn3–0
W@ Hoffenheim3–2
Wvs HSV2–0
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Freiburg winDrawDortmund win

FAQ

Who will win Freiburg vs Dortmund?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Dortmund the most likely result at 39%. Full split: Freiburg win 37%, draw 25%, Dortmund win 39%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Freiburg vs Dortmund?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Freiburg 1–1 Dortmund). Projected goals: Freiburg 1.5, Dortmund 1.5.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring.

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