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Bundesliga · Fixtures

Dortmund vs Union Berlin — Match Prediction

Bundesliga 2026/27 · Matchday 23 · Sat 27 Feb, 00:00 UTC

Dortmund win
92%
Draw
6%
Union Berlin win
2%
Most likely score3–0
Projected goals3.8 – 0.6
Over 2.5 goals81%
Both teams score42%
DortmundWWWWD1st · 13 pts
Union BerlinDLLLW16th · 4 pts

Ahead of Dortmund v Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on 27 February 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Dortmund the most likely outcome at 92%. The single most probable scoreline is 3–0, with projected goals of 3.8 for Dortmund and 0.6 for Union Berlin. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and 42% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Dortmund goals down (↓), Union Berlin goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Dortmund vs Union Berlin?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Dortmund the most likely result at 92%. Full split: Dortmund win 92%, draw 6%, Union Berlin win 2%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Dortmund vs Union Berlin?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 3–0 (Dortmund 3–0 Union Berlin). Projected goals: Dortmund 3.8, Union Berlin 0.6.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring.

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