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Bundesliga · Fixtures

Schalke vs Dortmund — Match Prediction

Bundesliga 2026/27 · Matchday 12 · Sat 5 Dec, 00:00 UTC

Schalke win
22%
Draw
25%
Dortmund win
53%
Most likely score0–1
Projected goals1 – 1.6
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams score50%
SchalkeLDWD12th · 5 pts
DortmundWWWWD1st · 13 pts

Ahead of Schalke v Dortmund in the Bundesliga on 5 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Dortmund the most likely outcome at 53%. The single most probable scoreline is 0–1, with projected goals of 1 for Schalke and 1.6 for Dortmund. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and 50% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Schalke goals down (↓), Dortmund goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Schalke vs Dortmund?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Dortmund the most likely result at 53%. Full split: Schalke win 22%, draw 25%, Dortmund win 53%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Schalke vs Dortmund?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 0–1 (Schalke 0–1 Dortmund). Projected goals: Schalke 1, Dortmund 1.6.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring.

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