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Bundesliga · Fixtures

Mainz vs Dortmund — Match Prediction

Bundesliga 2026/27 · Matchday 32 · Sat 8 May, 00:00 UTC

Mainz win
28%
Draw
23%
Dortmund win
49%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.3 – 1.8
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams score61%
M05MainzDWLWL8th · 7 pts
BVBDortmundWWWWD1st · 13 pts

Ahead of Mainz v Dortmund in the Bundesliga on 8 May 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Dortmund the most likely outcome at 49%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.3 for Mainz and 1.8 for Dortmund. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and 61% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Mainz vs Dortmund?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Dortmund the most likely result at 49%. Full split: Mainz win 28%, draw 23%, Dortmund win 49%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Mainz vs Dortmund?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Mainz 1–1 Dortmund). Projected goals: Mainz 1.3, Dortmund 1.8.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring.

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