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Bundesliga · Fixtures

SC Paderborn vs Mainz — Match Prediction

Bundesliga 2026/27 · Matchday 18 · Sat 23 Jan, 00:00 UTC

SC Paderborn win
43%
Draw
24%
Mainz win
34%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.6 – 1.4
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams score61%
SC PaderbornDLLWL15th · 4 pts
MainzDWLWL8th · 7 pts

Ahead of SC Paderborn v Mainz in the Bundesliga on 23 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for SC Paderborn the most likely outcome at 43%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.6 for SC Paderborn and 1.4 for Mainz. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and 61% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — SC Paderborn goals down (↓), Mainz goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win SC Paderborn vs Mainz?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for SC Paderborn the most likely result at 43%. Full split: SC Paderborn win 43%, draw 24%, Mainz win 34%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for SC Paderborn vs Mainz?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (SC Paderborn 1–1 Mainz). Projected goals: SC Paderborn 1.6, Mainz 1.4.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring.

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