Footyntel.

Bundesliga · Fixtures

Bayern vs Mainz — Match Prediction

Bundesliga 2026/27 · Matchday 26 · Sat 13 Mar, 00:00 UTC

Bayern win
92%
Draw
5%
Mainz win
3%
Most likely score4–0
Projected goals4.5 – 0.8
Over 2.5 goals89%
Both teams score56%
BayernWDWWD2nd · 11 pts
MainzDWLWL8th · 7 pts

Ahead of Bayern v Mainz in the Bundesliga on 13 March 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Bayern the most likely outcome at 92%. The single most probable scoreline is 4–0, with projected goals of 4.5 for Bayern and 0.8 for Mainz. There is a 89% chance of over 2.5 goals and 56% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Bayern goals down (↓), Mainz goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

000000221000542000763100873100763100012345012345

FAQ

Who will win Bayern vs Mainz?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Bayern the most likely result at 92%. Full split: Bayern win 92%, draw 5%, Mainz win 3%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Bayern vs Mainz?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 4–0 (Bayern 4–0 Mainz). Projected goals: Bayern 4.5, Mainz 0.8.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 89% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring.

← Bundesliga table & projection