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Bundesliga · Fixtures

Mainz vs HSV — Match Prediction

Bundesliga 2026/27 · Matchday 19 · Sat 30 Jan, 00:00 UTC

Mainz win
77%
Draw
14%
HSV win
10%
Most likely score2–0
Projected goals2.9 – 1
Over 2.5 goals74%
Both teams score58%
M05MainzDWLWL8th · 7 pts
HSVHSVLLLWW11th · 6 pts

Ahead of Mainz v HSV in the Bundesliga on 30 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Mainz the most likely outcome at 77%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–0, with projected goals of 2.9 for Mainz and 1 for HSV. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and 58% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Mainz vs HSV?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Mainz the most likely result at 77%. Full split: Mainz win 77%, draw 14%, HSV win 10%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Mainz vs HSV?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–0 (Mainz 2–0 HSV). Projected goals: Mainz 2.9, HSV 1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring.

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