Leverkusen vs Mainz — Match Prediction
Bundesliga 2026/27 · Matchday 22 · Sat 20 Feb, 00:00 UTC
LeverkusenLWDWW
MainzDWLWLAhead of Leverkusen v Mainz in the Bundesliga on 20 February 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Leverkusen the most likely outcome at 74%. The single most probable scoreline is 3–1, with projected goals of 3.1 for Leverkusen and 1.3 for Mainz. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and 69% chance both teams score.
Scoreline probability
Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Leverkusen goals down (↓), Mainz goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Leverkusen winDrawMainz win
FAQ
Who will win Leverkusen vs Mainz?
Footyntel's model makes a home win for Leverkusen the most likely result at 74%. Full split: Leverkusen win 74%, draw 14%, Mainz win 12%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.
What is the predicted score for Leverkusen vs Mainz?
The most probable scoreline from the model is 3–1 (Leverkusen 3–1 Mainz). Projected goals: Leverkusen 3.1, Mainz 1.3.
Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring.