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Bundesliga · Fixtures

RB Leipzig vs Mainz — Match Prediction

Bundesliga 2026/27 · Matchday 12 · Sat 5 Dec, 00:00 UTC

RB Leipzig win
78%
Draw
13%
Mainz win
10%
Most likely score3–1
Projected goals3.1 – 1.1
Over 2.5 goals79%
Both teams score64%
RB LeipzigWLWLW5th · 9 pts
MainzDWLWL8th · 7 pts

Ahead of RB Leipzig v Mainz in the Bundesliga on 5 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for RB Leipzig the most likely outcome at 78%. The single most probable scoreline is 3–1, with projected goals of 3.1 for RB Leipzig and 1.1 for Mainz. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and 64% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win RB Leipzig vs Mainz?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for RB Leipzig the most likely result at 78%. Full split: RB Leipzig win 78%, draw 13%, Mainz win 10%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for RB Leipzig vs Mainz?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 3–1 (RB Leipzig 3–1 Mainz). Projected goals: RB Leipzig 3.1, Mainz 1.1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring.

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