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Bundesliga · Fixtures

Mainz vs Union Berlin — Match Prediction

Bundesliga 2026/27 · Matchday 11 · Sat 28 Nov, 14:30 UTC

Mainz win
79%
Draw
12%
Union Berlin win
9%
Most likely score3–1
Projected goals3.2 – 1
Over 2.5 goals79%
Both teams score61%
MainzDWLWL8th · 7 pts
Union BerlinDLLLW16th · 4 pts

Ahead of Mainz v Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on 28 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Mainz the most likely outcome at 79%. The single most probable scoreline is 3–1, with projected goals of 3.2 for Mainz and 1 for Union Berlin. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and 61% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Mainz vs Union Berlin?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Mainz the most likely result at 79%. Full split: Mainz win 79%, draw 12%, Union Berlin win 9%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Mainz vs Union Berlin?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 3–1 (Mainz 3–1 Union Berlin). Projected goals: Mainz 3.2, Union Berlin 1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring.

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