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Bundesliga · Fixtures

Mainz vs Schalke — Match Prediction

Bundesliga 2026/27 · Matchday 23 · Sat 27 Feb, 00:00 UTC

Mainz win
61%
Draw
20%
Schalke win
19%
Most likely score2–1
Projected goals2.2 – 1.1
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams score60%
MainzDWLWL8th · 7 pts
SchalkeLDWD12th · 5 pts

Ahead of Mainz v Schalke in the Bundesliga on 27 February 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Mainz the most likely outcome at 61%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2.2 for Mainz and 1.1 for Schalke. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and 60% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Mainz goals down (↓), Schalke goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Mainz vs Schalke?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Mainz the most likely result at 61%. Full split: Mainz win 61%, draw 20%, Schalke win 19%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Mainz vs Schalke?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (Mainz 2–1 Schalke). Projected goals: Mainz 2.2, Schalke 1.1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring.

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