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Bundesliga · Fixtures

Freiburg vs Mainz — Match Prediction

Bundesliga 2026/27 · Matchday 30 · Sat 17 Apr, 00:00 UTC

Freiburg win
68%
Draw
17%
Mainz win
15%
Most likely score2–1
Projected goals2.7 – 1.2
Over 2.5 goals75%
Both teams score66%
FreiburgWWWD3rd · 10 pts
MainzDWLWL8th · 7 pts

Ahead of Freiburg v Mainz in the Bundesliga on 17 April 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Freiburg the most likely outcome at 68%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2.7 for Freiburg and 1.2 for Mainz. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and 66% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Freiburg goals down (↓), Mainz goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Freiburg vs Mainz?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Freiburg the most likely result at 68%. Full split: Freiburg win 68%, draw 17%, Mainz win 15%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Freiburg vs Mainz?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (Freiburg 2–1 Mainz). Projected goals: Freiburg 2.7, Mainz 1.2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring.

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