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Bundesliga · Fixtures

Mainz vs Freiburg — Match Prediction

Bundesliga 2026/27 · Matchday 13 · Sat 12 Dec, 00:00 UTC

Mainz win
45%
Draw
22%
Freiburg win
33%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals2 – 1.7
Over 2.5 goals70%
Both teams score70%
MainzDWLWL8th · 7 pts
FreiburgWWWD3rd · 10 pts

Ahead of Mainz v Freiburg in the Bundesliga on 12 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Mainz the most likely outcome at 45%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 2 for Mainz and 1.7 for Freiburg. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and 70% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Mainz goals down (↓), Freiburg goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Mainz vs Freiburg?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Mainz the most likely result at 45%. Full split: Mainz win 45%, draw 22%, Freiburg win 33%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Mainz vs Freiburg?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Mainz 1–1 Freiburg). Projected goals: Mainz 2, Freiburg 1.7.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring.

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