Footyntel.

Premier League · Chelsea

Chelsea — Season Outlook

Premier League 2026/27 · currently 6th ▲4 · 10 pts · WLDLW

League tableTitle raceRelegation battle

🏟 Stamford Bridge · Est. 1905 · Royal Blue / White

Win title
1.4%
Top 4
22.9%
Relegation
2.2%
Gap to top5 pts
Clear of drop zone7 pts
Projected points59
Projected finish8th
Most likely finish5th
80% range3rd–14th

Where Chelsea finish

Champions 1.4%Top 4 22.9%Mid-tableRelegation 2.2%

Footyntel projects Chelsea to finish around 8th in the Premier League 2026/27 — most likely 5th, with an 80% range of 3rd to 14th — on roughly 59 points. Their chance of winning the title is 1.4%, of top 4 22.9%, and of relegation 2.2%. On current form they are likely to finish mid-table.

Home & away form

Home (W-D-L)2-1-0
Away (W-D-L)1-0-2
Goals home / away11 / 4
Clean sheets0
Current run1W

Season trend

How Chelsea's title, top 4 and relegation probabilities have moved.

📈 Trend tracking has just started. This chart shows how the probabilities move through the season — it fills in as daily snapshots build up, so check back in a few days.

Chelsea's remaining fixtures

Model win / draw / loss for Chelsea in each match (H home, A away).

A  Everton31·23·45  17 OctH  Tottenham66·18·16  24 OctH  Man United45·20·34  31 OctA  Sunderland50·22·28  8 NovH  Leeds United47·22·30  21 NovA  Nottingham43·23·34  27 NovH  Crystal Palace62·18·20  2 DecH  Liverpool41·22·37  5 DecA  Man City12·14·75  12 DecH  Aston Villa58·19·23  19 DecA  Coventry City59·20·21  27 DecA  Ipswich Town45·20·34  30 DecH  Newcastle54·19·27  3 JanA  Crystal Palace46·21·33  6 JanH  Sunderland65·18·17  16 JanA  Leeds United33·23·44  23 JanH  Nottingham57·21·22  30 JanA  Man United30·20·50  6 FebA  Newcastle38·20·42  10 FebH  Ipswich Town62·18·21  20 FebA  Aston Villa43·22·36  27 FebH  Coventry City72·16·12  3 MarH  Arsenal22·22·56  13 MarA  Hull City36·22·42  20 MarH  Fulham60·19·20  10 AprA  Brighton Hove16·16·68  17 AprH  Man City22·18·60  24 AprA  Liverpool27·21·53  1 MayA  Tottenham52·22·26  8 MayH  Everton45·23·32  15 MayA  Bournemouth46·20·34  23 MayH  Brentford40·21·39  30 May

Squad

Current first-team squad.

Goalkeepers

  • Emiliano Martínez
  • Gabriel Slonina
  • Teddy Sharman-Lowe
  • Mike Penders

Defenders

  • Wesley Fofana
  • Reece James
  • Maxence Lacroix
  • Pep Chavarría
  • Malo Gusto
  • Levi Colwill
  • Jorrel Hato
  • Marco Palestra
  • Aaron Anselmino
  • Josh Acheampong

Midfielders

  • Jordan Henderson
  • Morgan Rogers
  • Moisés Caicedo
  • Cole Palmer
  • Valentin Barco
  • Romeo Lavia
  • Ray Paez

Forwards

  • Pedro Neto
  • Danny Welbeck
  • João Pedro
  • Emanuel Emegha
  • Jamie Bynoe-Gittens
  • Geovany Quenda
  • Estevao

Squad

  • Mahdi Nicoll-Jazuli

FAQ

Can Chelsea win the Premier League this season?

Footyntel's model gives Chelsea a 1.4% chance of winning the Premier League 2026/27 title, currently 6th of 20 clubs by title probability. They are projected to finish around 5th on about 59 points.

Will Chelsea be relegated?

The model gives Chelsea a 2.2% chance of relegation this season. Their most likely finish is 5th, with an 80% range of 3rd–14th.

Where will Chelsea finish in the Premier League?

Projected finish: about 8th (most likely 5th), 80% likely between 3rd and 14th. Title 1.4%, top 4 22.9%, relegation 2.2%.