Footyntel.

Premier League · Fixtures

Newcastle vs Chelsea — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 25 · Wed 10 Feb, 20:00 UTC

Newcastle win
41%
Draw
20%
Chelsea win
38%
Most likely score2–2
Projected goals2.1 – 2
Over 2.5 goals78%
Both teams score76%
NewcastleDWDLW11th · 8 pts
ChelseaWLDLW6th · 10 pts

Ahead of Newcastle v Chelsea in the Premier League on 10 February 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Newcastle the most likely outcome at 41%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–2, with projected goals of 2.1 for Newcastle and 2 for Chelsea. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and 76% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Newcastle goals down (↓), Chelsea goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Newcastle vs Chelsea?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Newcastle the most likely result at 41%. Full split: Newcastle win 41%, draw 20%, Chelsea win 38%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Chelsea?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–2 (Newcastle 2–2 Chelsea). Projected goals: Newcastle 2.1, Chelsea 2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 76% chance of both teams scoring.

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