Footyntel.

Premier League · Fixtures

Chelsea vs Everton — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 36 · Sat 15 May, 14:00 UTC

Chelsea win
45%
Draw
23%
Everton win
32%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.7 – 1.4
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams score63%
ChelseaWLDLW6th · 10 pts
EvertonDDDWD5th · 10 pts

Ahead of Chelsea v Everton in the Premier League on 15 May 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Chelsea the most likely outcome at 45%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.7 for Chelsea and 1.4 for Everton. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and 63% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Chelsea goals down (↓), Everton goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Chelsea 1W · 0D · 1L.

Everton3–0Chelsea
Chelsea2–0Everton

Recent form

Chelsea
Wvs Bournemouth5–1
L@ Brentford0–3
Dvs Hull City2–2
L@ Arsenal1–2
Wvs Brighton Hove4–3
Everton
D@ Hull City2–2
Wvs Ipswich Town1–0
D@ Tottenham0–0
Dvs Man United2–2
D@ Bournemouth1–1
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Chelsea winDrawEverton win

FAQ

Who will win Chelsea vs Everton?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Chelsea the most likely result at 45%. Full split: Chelsea win 45%, draw 23%, Everton win 32%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Everton?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Chelsea 1–1 Everton). Projected goals: Chelsea 1.7, Everton 1.4.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring.

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