Footyntel.

Premier League · Fixtures

Leeds United vs Chelsea — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 22 · Sat 23 Jan, 15:00 UTC

Leeds United win
44%
Draw
23%
Chelsea win
33%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.8 – 1.5
Over 2.5 goals65%
Both teams score65%
Leeds UnitedDDWDL8th · 9 pts
ChelseaWLDLW7th · 10 pts

Ahead of Leeds United v Chelsea in the Premier League on 23 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Leeds United the most likely outcome at 44%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.8 for Leeds United and 1.5 for Chelsea. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and 65% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Leeds United goals down (↓), Chelsea goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Leeds United 1W · 1D · 0L.

Chelsea2–2Leeds United
Leeds United3–1Chelsea

Recent form

Leeds United
L@ Arsenal1–2
Dvs Crystal Palace0–0
Wvs Newcastle4–1
D@ Brighton Hove1–1
Dvs Brentford1–1
Chelsea
Wvs Bournemouth5–1
L@ Brentford0–3
Dvs Hull City2–2
L@ Arsenal1–2
Wvs Brighton Hove4–3
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Leeds United winDrawChelsea win

FAQ

Who will win Leeds United vs Chelsea?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Leeds United the most likely result at 44%. Full split: Leeds United win 44%, draw 23%, Chelsea win 33%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Leeds United vs Chelsea?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Leeds United 1–1 Chelsea). Projected goals: Leeds United 1.8, Chelsea 1.5.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring.

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