Chelsea vs Sunderland — Match Prediction
Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 21 · Sat 16 Jan, 15:00 UTC
ChelseaWLDLW
SunderlandWDLLLAhead of Chelsea v Sunderland in the Premier League on 16 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Chelsea the most likely outcome at 64%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2.4 for Chelsea and 1.2 for Sunderland. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and 64% chance both teams score.
Scoreline probability
Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Chelsea goals down (↓), Sunderland goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Chelsea winDrawSunderland win
FAQ
Who will win Chelsea vs Sunderland?
Footyntel's model makes a home win for Chelsea the most likely result at 64%. Full split: Chelsea win 64%, draw 18%, Sunderland win 17%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Sunderland?
The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (Chelsea 2–1 Sunderland). Projected goals: Chelsea 2.4, Sunderland 1.2.
Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring.