Chelsea vs Aston Villa — Match Prediction
Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 16 · Sat 19 Dec, 15:00 UTC
ChelseaWLDLW
Aston VillaLDLWDAhead of Chelsea v Aston Villa in the Premier League on 19 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Chelsea the most likely outcome at 58%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2.3 for Chelsea and 1.4 for Aston Villa. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and 69% chance both teams score.
Scoreline probability
Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Chelsea goals down (↓), Aston Villa goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Chelsea winDrawAston Villa win
FAQ
Who will win Chelsea vs Aston Villa?
Footyntel's model makes a home win for Chelsea the most likely result at 58%. Full split: Chelsea win 58%, draw 19%, Aston Villa win 23%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Aston Villa?
The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (Chelsea 2–1 Aston Villa). Projected goals: Chelsea 2.3, Aston Villa 1.4.
Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring.