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Premier League · Fixtures

Chelsea vs Nottingham — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 23 · Sat 30 Jan, 15:00 UTC

Chelsea win
57%
Draw
21%
Nottingham win
22%
Most likely score2–1
Projected goals2.1 – 1.2
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams score62%
ChelseaWLDLW6th · 10 pts
NottinghamDDWLL14th · 5 pts

Ahead of Chelsea v Nottingham in the Premier League on 30 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Chelsea the most likely outcome at 57%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2.1 for Chelsea and 1.2 for Nottingham. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and 62% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Chelsea goals down (↓), Nottingham goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Chelsea 1W · 0D · 1L.

Chelsea1–3Nottingham
Nottingham0–3Chelsea

Recent form

Chelsea
Wvs Bournemouth5–1
L@ Brentford0–3
Dvs Hull City2–2
L@ Arsenal1–2
Wvs Brighton Hove4–3
Nottingham
L@ Crystal Palace1–3
Lvs Coventry City0–1
W@ Aston Villa2–1
Dvs Tottenham0–0
D@ Liverpool2–2

FAQ

Who will win Chelsea vs Nottingham?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Chelsea the most likely result at 57%. Full split: Chelsea win 57%, draw 21%, Nottingham win 22%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Nottingham?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (Chelsea 2–1 Nottingham). Projected goals: Chelsea 2.1, Nottingham 1.2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring.

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