Footyntel.

Premier League · Fixtures

Aston Villa vs Chelsea — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 27 · Sat 27 Feb, 15:00 UTC

Aston Villa win
35%
Draw
22%
Chelsea win
43%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.7 – 1.9
Over 2.5 goals71%
Both teams score71%
Aston VillaLDLWD15th · 5 pts
ChelseaWLDLW6th · 10 pts

Ahead of Aston Villa v Chelsea in the Premier League on 27 February 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Chelsea the most likely outcome at 43%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.7 for Aston Villa and 1.9 for Chelsea. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and 71% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Aston Villa goals down (↓), Chelsea goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

355321488531477521244311122110011000012345012345

FAQ

Who will win Aston Villa vs Chelsea?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Chelsea the most likely result at 43%. Full split: Aston Villa win 35%, draw 22%, Chelsea win 43%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Chelsea?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Aston Villa 1–1 Chelsea). Projected goals: Aston Villa 1.7, Chelsea 1.9.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 71% chance of both teams scoring.

← Premier League table & projection