Footyntel.

Premier League · Fixtures

Chelsea vs Man City — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 33 · Sat 24 Apr, 14:00 UTC

Chelsea win
21%
Draw
18%
Man City win
61%
Most likely score1–2
Projected goals1.5 – 2.5
Over 2.5 goals76%
Both teams score71%
ChelseaWLDLW6th · 10 pts
Man CityWWWWW1st · 15 pts

Ahead of Chelsea v Man City in the Premier League on 24 April 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Man City the most likely outcome at 61%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–2, with projected goals of 1.5 for Chelsea and 2.5 for Man City. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and 71% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Chelsea goals down (↓), Man City goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Chelsea vs Man City?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Man City the most likely result at 61%. Full split: Chelsea win 21%, draw 18%, Man City win 61%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Man City?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–2 (Chelsea 1–2 Man City). Projected goals: Chelsea 1.5, Man City 2.5.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 71% chance of both teams scoring.

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