Footyntel.

Premier League · Fixtures

Chelsea vs Newcastle — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 19 · Sun 3 Jan, 14:00 UTC

Chelsea win
53%
Draw
19%
Newcastle win
27%
Most likely score2–1
Projected goals2.4 – 1.8
Over 2.5 goals79%
Both teams score75%
CHEChelseaWLDLW5th · 10 pts
NEWNewcastleDWDLW11th · 8 pts

Ahead of Chelsea v Newcastle in the Premier League on 3 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Chelsea the most likely outcome at 53%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2.4 for Chelsea and 1.8 for Newcastle. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and 75% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Chelsea vs Newcastle?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Chelsea the most likely result at 53%. Full split: Chelsea win 53%, draw 19%, Newcastle win 27%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Newcastle?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (Chelsea 2–1 Newcastle). Projected goals: Chelsea 2.4, Newcastle 1.8.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 75% chance of both teams scoring.

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