Chelsea vs Arsenal — Match Prediction
Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 29 · Sat 13 Mar, 15:00 UTC
Ahead of Chelsea v Arsenal in the Premier League on 13 March 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Arsenal the most likely outcome at 57%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–2, with projected goals of 1.2 for Chelsea and 2 for Arsenal. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and 60% chance both teams score.
Scoreline probability
Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Chelsea goals down (↓), Arsenal goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Chelsea winDrawArsenal win
FAQ
Who will win Chelsea vs Arsenal?
Footyntel's model makes an away win for Arsenal the most likely result at 57%. Full split: Chelsea win 22%, draw 21%, Arsenal win 57%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Arsenal?
The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–2 (Chelsea 1–2 Arsenal). Projected goals: Chelsea 1.2, Arsenal 2.
Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring.