Footyntel.

Premier League · Fixtures

Chelsea vs Arsenal — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 29 · Sat 13 Mar, 15:00 UTC

Chelsea win
22%
Draw
21%
Arsenal win
57%
Most likely score1–2
Projected goals1.2 – 2
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams score60%
ChelseaWLDLW6th · 10 pts
ArsenalWWWLW2nd · 15 pts

Ahead of Chelsea v Arsenal in the Premier League on 13 March 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Arsenal the most likely outcome at 57%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–2, with projected goals of 1.2 for Chelsea and 2 for Arsenal. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and 60% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Chelsea goals down (↓), Arsenal goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Chelsea vs Arsenal?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Arsenal the most likely result at 57%. Full split: Chelsea win 22%, draw 21%, Arsenal win 57%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Arsenal?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–2 (Chelsea 1–2 Arsenal). Projected goals: Chelsea 1.2, Arsenal 2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring.

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