ARS Arsenal — Season Outlook

Q: Can Arsenal win the Premier League this season?

Footyntel's model gives Arsenal a 27.6% chance of winning the Premier League 2026/27 title, currently 2nd of 20 clubs by title probability. They are projected to finish around 2nd on about 80 points.

Q: Will Arsenal be relegated?

The model gives Arsenal a 0% chance of relegation this season. Their most likely finish is 2nd, with an 80% range of 1st–5th.

Q: Where will Arsenal finish in the Premier League?

Projected finish: about 3rd (most likely 2nd), 80% likely between 1st and 5th. Title 27.6%, top 4 86.5%, relegation 0%.

Premier League 2026/27 · currently 2nd · 15 pts · WWWLW

League table Title race Relegation battle

Win title

27.6%

Top 4

86.5%

Relegation

<1%

Projected points80

Projected finish3rd

Most likely finish2nd

80% range1st–5th

Where Arsenal finish

Champions 27.6%Top 4 86.5%Mid-tableRelegation <1%

Footyntel projects Arsenal to finish around 3rd in the Premier League 2026/27 — most likely 2nd, with an 80% range of 1st to 5th — on roughly 80 points. Their chance of winning the title is 27.6%, of top 4 86.5%, and of relegation 0%. On current form they are in the title mix.

Season trend

How Arsenal's title, top 4 and relegation probabilities have moved.

📈 Trend tracking has just started. This chart shows how the probabilities move through the season — it fills in as daily snapshots build up, so check back in a few days.

Arsenal's remaining fixtures

Model win / draw / loss for Arsenal in each match (H home, A away).

A Nottingham56·27·17 18 Oct H Everton59·26·15 24 Oct A Liverpool47·27·26 1 Nov H Hull City65·22·13 7 Nov A Newcastle59·22·19 21 Nov H Man City42·27·31 29 Nov A Brentford47·27·27 2 Dec A Tottenham67·22·11 5 Dec H Bournemouth76·15·8 12 Dec H Man United64·21·15 19 Dec A Crystal Palace68·20·12 27 Dec A Fulham63·23·14 30 Dec H Ipswich Town76·15·9 2 Jan H Brentford58·23·18 5 Jan A Hull City54·26·19 16 Jan H Newcastle71·18·11 23 Jan A Man City31·27·42 30 Jan H Liverpool58·24·17 6 Feb A Ipswich Town65·20·15 10 Feb H Fulham73·18·9 20 Feb A Man United52·25·24 27 Feb H Crystal Palace78·15·7 3 Mar A Chelsea57·21·22 13 Mar H Sunderland76·16·7 20 Mar A Coventry City72·19·9 10 Apr H Aston Villa72·18·10 17 Apr A Bournemouth66·20·14 24 Apr H Tottenham76·17·7 1 May A Leeds United52·27·21 8 May H Nottingham66·22·11 15 May A Everton48·30·22 23 May H Brighton Hove48·26·26 30 May

FAQ

Can Arsenal win the Premier League this season?

Footyntel's model gives Arsenal a 27.6% chance of winning the Premier League 2026/27 title, currently 2nd of 20 clubs by title probability. They are projected to finish around 2nd on about 80 points.

Will Arsenal be relegated?

The model gives Arsenal a 0% chance of relegation this season. Their most likely finish is 2nd, with an 80% range of 1st–5th.

Where will Arsenal finish in the Premier League?

Projected finish: about 3rd (most likely 2nd), 80% likely between 1st and 5th. Title 27.6%, top 4 86.5%, relegation 0%.