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Premier League · Fixtures

Arsenal vs Tottenham — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 34 · Sat 1 May, 14:00 UTC

Arsenal win
77%
Draw
17%
Tottenham win
7%
Most likely score2–0
Projected goals2.2 – 0.5
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams score34%
ArsenalWWWLW2nd · 15 pts
TottenhamLDDLD18th · 3 pts

Ahead of Arsenal v Tottenham in the Premier League on 1 May 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Arsenal the most likely outcome at 77%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–0, with projected goals of 2.2 for Arsenal and 0.5 for Tottenham. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and 34% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Arsenal goals down (↓), Tottenham goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Arsenal 2W · 0D · 0L.

Tottenham1–4Arsenal
Arsenal4–1Tottenham

Recent form

Arsenal
Wvs Leeds United2–1
L@ Brighton Hove0–3
W@ Sunderland2–0
Wvs Chelsea2–1
W@ Aston Villa1–0
Tottenham
D@ Man United1–1
Lvs Aston Villa2–3
Dvs Everton0–0
D@ Nottingham0–0
Lvs Newcastle0–2
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Arsenal winDrawTottenham win

FAQ

Who will win Arsenal vs Tottenham?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Arsenal the most likely result at 77%. Full split: Arsenal win 77%, draw 17%, Tottenham win 7%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Tottenham?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–0 (Arsenal 2–0 Tottenham). Projected goals: Arsenal 2.2, Tottenham 0.5.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 34% chance of both teams scoring.

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