Footyntel.

Premier League · Fixtures

Tottenham vs Arsenal — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 14 · Sat 5 Dec, 15:00 UTC

Tottenham win
11%
Draw
22%
Arsenal win
67%
Most likely score0–1
Projected goals0.6 – 1.8
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams score36%
TottenhamLDDLD18th · 3 pts
ArsenalWWWLW2nd · 15 pts

Ahead of Tottenham v Arsenal in the Premier League on 5 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Arsenal the most likely outcome at 67%. The single most probable scoreline is 0–1, with projected goals of 0.6 for Tottenham and 1.8 for Arsenal. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and 36% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Tottenham goals down (↓), Arsenal goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Tottenham vs Arsenal?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Arsenal the most likely result at 67%. Full split: Tottenham win 11%, draw 22%, Arsenal win 67%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Tottenham vs Arsenal?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 0–1 (Tottenham 0–1 Arsenal). Projected goals: Tottenham 0.6, Arsenal 1.8.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 36% chance of both teams scoring.

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