Footyntel.

Premier League · Fixtures

Arsenal vs Man City — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 12 · Sun 29 Nov, 16:30 UTC

Arsenal win
42%
Draw
27%
Man City win
31%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams score51%
ArsenalWWWLW2nd · 15 pts
Man CityWWWWW1st · 15 pts

Ahead of Arsenal v Man City in the Premier League on 29 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Arsenal the most likely outcome at 42%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.4 for Arsenal and 1.1 for Man City. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and 51% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Arsenal goals down (↓), Man City goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Arsenal 0W · 1D · 1L.

Man City2–1Arsenal
Arsenal1–1Man City

Recent form

Arsenal
Wvs Leeds United2–1
L@ Brighton Hove0–3
W@ Sunderland2–0
Wvs Chelsea2–1
W@ Aston Villa1–0
Man City
Wvs Sunderland5–3
W@ Man United1–0
Wvs Coventry City1–0
W@ Crystal Palace4–1
Wvs Bournemouth2–1
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Arsenal winDrawMan City win

FAQ

Who will win Arsenal vs Man City?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Arsenal the most likely result at 42%. Full split: Arsenal win 42%, draw 27%, Man City win 31%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Man City?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Arsenal 1–1 Man City). Projected goals: Arsenal 1.4, Man City 1.1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring.

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