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Premier League · Fixtures

Arsenal vs Aston Villa — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 32 · Sat 17 Apr, 14:00 UTC

Arsenal win
72%
Draw
18%
Aston Villa win
10%
Most likely score2–0
Projected goals2.2 – 0.6
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams score42%
ArsenalWWWLW2nd · 15 pts
Aston VillaLDLWD15th · 5 pts

Ahead of Arsenal v Aston Villa in the Premier League on 17 April 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Arsenal the most likely outcome at 72%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–0, with projected goals of 2.2 for Arsenal and 0.6 for Aston Villa. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and 42% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Arsenal goals down (↓), Aston Villa goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Arsenal vs Aston Villa?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Arsenal the most likely result at 72%. Full split: Arsenal win 72%, draw 18%, Aston Villa win 10%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Aston Villa?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–0 (Arsenal 2–0 Aston Villa). Projected goals: Arsenal 2.2, Aston Villa 0.6.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring.

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