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Premier League · Fixtures

Arsenal vs Brighton Hove — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 38 · Sun 30 May, 15:00 UTC

Arsenal win
49%
Draw
26%
Brighton Hove win
26%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.5 – 1
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams score50%
ArsenalWWWLW2nd · 15 pts
Brighton HoveLDWWW3rd · 13 pts

Ahead of Arsenal v Brighton Hove in the Premier League on 30 May 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Arsenal the most likely outcome at 49%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.5 for Arsenal and 1 for Brighton Hove. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and 50% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Arsenal goals down (↓), Brighton Hove goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Arsenal 2W · 0D · 1L.

Brighton Hove3–0Arsenal
Brighton Hove0–1Arsenal
Arsenal2–1Brighton Hove

Recent form

Arsenal
Wvs Leeds United2–1
L@ Brighton Hove0–3
W@ Sunderland2–0
Wvs Chelsea2–1
W@ Aston Villa1–0
Brighton Hove
W@ Sunderland2–0
Wvs Arsenal3–0
W@ Coventry City5–0
Dvs Leeds United1–1
L@ Chelsea3–4
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Arsenal winDrawBrighton Hove win

FAQ

Who will win Arsenal vs Brighton Hove?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Arsenal the most likely result at 49%. Full split: Arsenal win 49%, draw 26%, Brighton Hove win 26%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Brighton Hove?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Arsenal 1–1 Brighton Hove). Projected goals: Arsenal 1.5, Brighton Hove 1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring.

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