Footyntel.

Premier League · Fixtures

Arsenal vs Nottingham — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 36 · Sat 15 May, 14:00 UTC

Arsenal win
71%
Draw
20%
Nottingham win
10%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.9 – 0.5
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams score36%
ArsenalWWWLW2nd · 15 pts
NottinghamDDWLL14th · 5 pts

Ahead of Arsenal v Nottingham in the Premier League on 15 May 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Arsenal the most likely outcome at 71%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.9 for Arsenal and 0.5 for Nottingham. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and 36% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Arsenal goals down (↓), Nottingham goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Arsenal 1W · 1D · 0L.

Nottingham0–0Arsenal
Arsenal3–0Nottingham

Recent form

Arsenal
Wvs Leeds United2–1
L@ Brighton Hove0–3
W@ Sunderland2–0
Wvs Chelsea2–1
W@ Aston Villa1–0
Nottingham
L@ Crystal Palace1–3
Lvs Coventry City0–1
W@ Aston Villa2–1
Dvs Tottenham0–0
D@ Liverpool2–2
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Arsenal winDrawNottingham win

FAQ

Who will win Arsenal vs Nottingham?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Arsenal the most likely result at 71%. Full split: Arsenal win 71%, draw 20%, Nottingham win 10%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Nottingham?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Arsenal 1–0 Nottingham). Projected goals: Arsenal 1.9, Nottingham 0.5.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 36% chance of both teams scoring.

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