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Premier League · Fixtures

Arsenal vs Brentford — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 20 · Tue 5 Jan, 19:30 UTC

Arsenal win
58%
Draw
23%
Brentford win
18%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.7 – 0.8
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams score47%
ArsenalWWWLW2nd · 15 pts
BrentfordDDDWD4th · 10 pts

Ahead of Arsenal v Brentford in the Premier League on 5 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Arsenal the most likely outcome at 58%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.7 for Arsenal and 0.8 for Brentford. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and 47% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Arsenal goals down (↓), Brentford goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Arsenal vs Brentford?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Arsenal the most likely result at 58%. Full split: Arsenal win 58%, draw 23%, Brentford win 18%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Brentford?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Arsenal 1–0 Brentford). Projected goals: Arsenal 1.7, Brentford 0.8.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring.

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