Ligue 1 · Toulouse

TOU Toulouse — Season Outlook

Ligue 1 2026/27 · currently 13th · 6 pts · DLDWD

League table Title race Relegation battle

Win title

0.5%

Top 4

5.9%

Relegation

13.4%

Projected points43

Projected finish11th

Most likely finish12th

80% range6th–16th

Where Toulouse finish

Champions 0.5%Top 4 5.9%Mid-tableRelegation 13.4%

Footyntel projects Toulouse to finish around 11th in the Ligue 1 2026/27 — most likely 12th, with an 80% range of 6th to 16th — on roughly 43 points. Their chance of winning the title is 0.5%, of top 4 5.9%, and of relegation / play-off 13.4%. On current form they are likely to finish mid-table.

Season trend

How Toulouse's title, top 4 and relegation / play-off probabilities have moved.

📈 Trend tracking has just started. This chart shows how the probabilities move through the season — it fills in as daily snapshots build up, so check back in a few days.

Toulouse's remaining fixtures

Model win / draw / loss for Toulouse in each match (H home, A away).

A Le Mans32·22·46 16 Oct H Troyes61·20·19 24 Oct A Marseille22·20·58 1 Nov H Strasbourg42·22·36 6 Nov A RC Lens16·18·65 21 Nov H Stade Rennais44·22·34 29 Nov H PSG24·22·54 5 Dec A Auxerre39·24·37 12 Dec H Angers SCO57·23·20 2 Jan A Paris FC22·24·55 16 Jan H Nice60·23·17 23 Jan H RC Lens33·23·45 30 Jan A Le Havre38·29·33 6 Feb H Monaco35·24·42 13 Feb A Stade Rennais25·21·55 20 Feb A Olympique Lyon14·19·67 27 Feb H Le Mans52·21·26 6 Mar A Nice42·27·32 13 Mar H Brest46·22·32 20 Mar A Strasbourg23·20·58 3 Apr A Lille15·21·64 10 Apr H Paris FC38·26·36 17 Apr A Troyes41·24·35 24 Apr H Marseille40·23·37 1 May A Angers SCO39·26·35 8 May H Lorient45·25·30 16 May H Auxerre59·21·20 22 May A PSG11·16·73 29 May

FAQ

Can Toulouse win the Ligue 1 this season?

Footyntel's model gives Toulouse a 0.5% chance of winning the Ligue 1 2026/27 title, currently 12th of 18 clubs by title probability. They are projected to finish around 12th on about 43 points.

Will Toulouse be relegated?

The model gives Toulouse a 13.4% chance of relegation / play-off this season. Their most likely finish is 12th, with an 80% range of 6th–16th.

Where will Toulouse finish in the Ligue 1?

Projected finish: about 11th (most likely 12th), 80% likely between 6th and 16th. Title 0.5%, top 4 5.9%, relegation / play-off 13.4%.