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Ligue 1 · Fixtures

Paris FC vs Toulouse — Match Prediction

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 16 · Sat 16 Jan, 00:00 UTC

Paris FC win
55%
Draw
24%
Toulouse win
21%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.7 – 1
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams score52%
Paris FCWWDWL5th · 11 pts
ToulouseDLDWD14th · 6 pts

Ahead of Paris FC v Toulouse in the Ligue 1 on 16 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Paris FC the most likely outcome at 55%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.7 for Paris FC and 1 for Toulouse. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and 52% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Paris FC goals down (↓), Toulouse goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Paris FC 0W · 1D · 1L.

Toulouse1–1Paris FC
Paris FC0–3Toulouse

Recent form

Paris FC
L@ Lorient0–1
Wvs Strasbourg2–1
Dvs Olympique Lyon0–0
W@ Marseille3–2
Wvs Nice3–0
Toulouse
D@ Monaco2–2
Wvs Le Havre3–2
D@ Lorient2–2
Lvs Lille0–1
D@ Brest2–2

FAQ

Who will win Paris FC vs Toulouse?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Paris FC the most likely result at 55%. Full split: Paris FC win 55%, draw 24%, Toulouse win 21%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Paris FC vs Toulouse?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Paris FC 1–0 Toulouse). Projected goals: Paris FC 1.7, Toulouse 1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring.

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