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Ligue 1 · Fixtures

Auxerre vs Toulouse — Match Prediction

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 14 · Sat 12 Dec, 00:00 UTC

Auxerre win
37%
Draw
24%
Toulouse win
39%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.5 – 1.5
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams score60%
AuxerreLLLWW15th · 6 pts
ToulouseDLDWD14th · 6 pts

Ahead of Auxerre v Toulouse in the Ligue 1 on 12 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Toulouse the most likely outcome at 39%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.5 for Auxerre and 1.5 for Toulouse. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and 60% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Auxerre goals down (↓), Toulouse goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Auxerre 1W · 1D · 0L.

Toulouse0–0Auxerre
Auxerre1–0Toulouse

Recent form

Auxerre
Wvs Brest2–1
Wvs Nice1–0
L@ Olympique Lyon1–3
Lvs Angers SCO1–3
L@ RC Lens2–5
Toulouse
D@ Monaco2–2
Wvs Le Havre3–2
D@ Lorient2–2
Lvs Lille0–1
D@ Brest2–2

FAQ

Who will win Auxerre vs Toulouse?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Toulouse the most likely result at 39%. Full split: Auxerre win 37%, draw 24%, Toulouse win 39%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Auxerre vs Toulouse?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Auxerre 1–1 Toulouse). Projected goals: Auxerre 1.5, Toulouse 1.5.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring.

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