Toulouse vs PSG — Match Prediction
Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 13 · Sat 5 Dec, 00:00 UTC
ToulouseDLDWD
PSGDLWWWAhead of Toulouse v PSG in the Ligue 1 on 5 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for PSG the most likely outcome at 54%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.2 for Toulouse and 1.9 for PSG. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and 61% chance both teams score.
Scoreline probability
Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Toulouse goals down (↓), PSG goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Toulouse winDrawPSG win
FAQ
Who will win Toulouse vs PSG?
Footyntel's model makes an away win for PSG the most likely result at 54%. Full split: Toulouse win 24%, draw 22%, PSG win 54%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.
What is the predicted score for Toulouse vs PSG?
The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Toulouse 1–1 PSG). Projected goals: Toulouse 1.2, PSG 1.9.
Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring.