Footyntel.

Ligue 1 · Fixtures

Toulouse vs Paris FC — Match Prediction

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 28 · Sat 17 Apr, 00:00 UTC

Toulouse win
38%
Draw
26%
Paris FC win
36%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.3 – 1.3
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams score54%
ToulouseDLDWD14th · 6 pts
Paris FCWWDWL4th · 11 pts

Ahead of Toulouse v Paris FC in the Ligue 1 on 17 April 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Toulouse the most likely outcome at 38%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.3 for Toulouse and 1.3 for Paris FC. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and 54% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Toulouse goals down (↓), Paris FC goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Toulouse 1W · 1D · 0L.

Toulouse1–1Paris FC
Paris FC0–3Toulouse

Recent form

Toulouse
D@ Monaco2–2
Wvs Le Havre3–2
D@ Lorient2–2
Lvs Lille0–1
D@ Brest2–2
Paris FC
L@ Lorient0–1
Wvs Strasbourg2–1
Dvs Olympique Lyon0–0
W@ Marseille3–2
Wvs Nice3–0

FAQ

Who will win Toulouse vs Paris FC?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Toulouse the most likely result at 38%. Full split: Toulouse win 38%, draw 26%, Paris FC win 36%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Toulouse vs Paris FC?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Toulouse 1–1 Paris FC). Projected goals: Toulouse 1.3, Paris FC 1.3.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring.

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