Footyntel.

Ligue 1 · Fixtures

Lille vs Toulouse — Match Prediction

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 27 · Sat 10 Apr, 00:00 UTC

Lille win
64%
Draw
21%
Toulouse win
15%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.9 – 0.8
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams score47%
LilleDWWLW2nd · 13 pts
ToulouseDLDWD14th · 6 pts

Ahead of Lille v Toulouse in the Ligue 1 on 10 April 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Lille the most likely outcome at 64%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.9 for Lille and 0.8 for Toulouse. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and 47% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Lille goals down (↓), Toulouse goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

6521001210410012104100863100431000110000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Lille 3W · 0D · 0L.

Toulouse0–1Lille
Toulouse0–4Lille
Lille2–1Toulouse

Recent form

Lille
Wvs Le Havre1–0
L@ Nice1–2
Wvs Troyes2–0
W@ Toulouse1–0
Dvs PSG2–2
Toulouse
D@ Monaco2–2
Wvs Le Havre3–2
D@ Lorient2–2
Lvs Lille0–1
D@ Brest2–2
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Lille winDrawToulouse win

FAQ

Who will win Lille vs Toulouse?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Lille the most likely result at 64%. Full split: Lille win 64%, draw 21%, Toulouse win 15%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Lille vs Toulouse?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Lille 1–0 Toulouse). Projected goals: Lille 1.9, Toulouse 0.8.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring.

← Ligue 1 table & projection