Footyntel.

Ligue 1 · Fixtures

Toulouse vs Marseille — Match Prediction

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 30 · Sat 1 May, 00:00 UTC

Toulouse win
40%
Draw
23%
Marseille win
37%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.7 – 1.6
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams score65%
TOUToulouseDLDWD13th · 6 pts
MARMarseilleWLLLL17th · 3 pts

Ahead of Toulouse v Marseille in the Ligue 1 on 1 May 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Toulouse the most likely outcome at 40%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.7 for Toulouse and 1.6 for Marseille. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and 65% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Toulouse vs Marseille?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Toulouse the most likely result at 40%. Full split: Toulouse win 40%, draw 23%, Marseille win 37%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Toulouse vs Marseille?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Toulouse 1–1 Marseille). Projected goals: Toulouse 1.7, Marseille 1.6.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring.

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