Ligue 1 · Title race
Ligue 1 2026/27 Title Race
Updated 11 October 2026 · model projection from 50,000 simulations
League tableRelegation battleFixtures
PSG lead the Ligue 1 2026/27 title race on the model, winning it in 32.6% of simulations. PSG 32.6%, Olympique Lyon 17%, Lille 15.6% head the contenders.
Title probability over time
📈 Trend tracking has just started. This chart shows how the probabilities move through the season — it fills in as daily snapshots build up, so check back in a few days.
Contenders
| # | Team | Pts | Title % | Proj pts | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | PSG PSG | 11 | 32.6% | 66 | @Strasbourg 48% |
| 3 | LYO Olympique Lyon | 11 | 17% | 62 | Nice 74% |
| 2 | LIL Lille | 13 | 15.6% | 62 | Brest 62% |
| 1 | ASM Monaco | 14 | 14.1% | 61 | @Lorient 39% |
| 9 | RCL RC Lens | 7 | 6.2% | 55 | @Troyes 58% |
| 6 | REN Stade Rennais | 10 | 3.6% | 51 | Auxerre 65% |
| 4 | PFC Paris FC | 11 | 3.6% | 53 | Stade Rennais 52% |
| 10 | RC Strasbourg | 7 | 3.4% | 51 | @Nice 50% |
| 17 | MAR Marseille | 3 | 1.7% | 48 | @Troyes 50% |
| 7 | BRE Brest | 8 | 0.9% | 46 | @Lille 16% |
FAQ
Who will win the Ligue 1 this season?
Footyntel's model makes PSG the most likely Ligue 1 2026/27 champions at 32.6%, ahead of Olympique Lyon (17%) and Lille (15.6%). A statistical model, not betting advice.