ASM Monaco — Season Outlook

Q: Can Monaco win the Ligue 1 this season?

Footyntel's model gives Monaco a 14.1% chance of winning the Ligue 1 2026/27 title, currently 4th of 18 clubs by title probability. They are projected to finish around 2nd on about 61 points.

Q: Will Monaco be relegated?

The model gives Monaco a 0.3% chance of relegation / play-off this season. Their most likely finish is 2nd, with an 80% range of 1st–9th.

Q: Where will Monaco finish in the Ligue 1?

Projected finish: about 5th (most likely 2nd), 80% likely between 1st and 9th. Title 14.1%, top 4 53.8%, relegation / play-off 0.3%.

Ligue 1 2026/27 · currently 1st · 14 pts · WWDWD

League table Title race Relegation battle

Win title

14.1%

Top 4

53.8%

Relegation

<1%

Projected points61

Projected finish5th

Most likely finish2nd

80% range1st–9th

Where Monaco finish

Champions 14.1%Top 4 53.8%Mid-tableRelegation <1%

Footyntel projects Monaco to finish around 5th in the Ligue 1 2026/27 — most likely 2nd, with an 80% range of 1st to 9th — on roughly 61 points. Their chance of winning the title is 14.1%, of top 4 53.8%, and of relegation / play-off 0.3%. On current form they are well placed for top 4.

Season trend

How Monaco's title, top 4 and relegation / play-off probabilities have moved.

📈 Trend tracking has just started. This chart shows how the probabilities move through the season — it fills in as daily snapshots build up, so check back in a few days.

Monaco's remaining fixtures

Model win / draw / loss for Monaco in each match (H home, A away).

A Lorient39·26·35 18 Oct H Lille39·27·34 25 Oct A Paris FC32·26·42 1 Nov A Le Mans45·23·32 8 Nov H Auxerre71·17·12 21 Nov A Olympique Lyon22·24·54 29 Nov H Angers SCO69·19·12 5 Dec A Stade Rennais37·23·40 12 Dec H Nice71·18·11 2 Jan H Brest60·20·20 16 Jan A Troyes54·22·23 23 Jan H PSG36·24·40 30 Jan A Auxerre52·23·25 6 Feb A Toulouse42·24·35 13 Feb H Le Mans66·18·16 20 Feb A Brest39·23·38 27 Feb H Olympique Lyon38·26·36 6 Mar A Marseille34·23·43 13 Mar H Le Havre66·22·12 20 Mar A Angers SCO51·25·24 3 Apr H Stade Rennais58·20·22 10 Apr H Strasbourg57·20·23 17 Apr A Lille23·25·51 24 Apr H Lorient57·23·20 1 May A RC Lens27·22·51 8 May H Paris FC50·25·25 16 May A Nice54·25·22 22 May H Troyes73·16·11 29 May

FAQ

Can Monaco win the Ligue 1 this season?

Footyntel's model gives Monaco a 14.1% chance of winning the Ligue 1 2026/27 title, currently 4th of 18 clubs by title probability. They are projected to finish around 2nd on about 61 points.

Will Monaco be relegated?

The model gives Monaco a 0.3% chance of relegation / play-off this season. Their most likely finish is 2nd, with an 80% range of 1st–9th.

Where will Monaco finish in the Ligue 1?

Projected finish: about 5th (most likely 2nd), 80% likely between 1st and 9th. Title 14.1%, top 4 53.8%, relegation / play-off 0.3%.