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Ligue 1 · Fixtures

Monaco vs Olympique Lyon — Match Prediction

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 23 · Sat 6 Mar, 00:00 UTC

Monaco win
38%
Draw
26%
Olympique Lyon win
36%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.3 – 1.3
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams score53%
MonacoWWDWD1st · 14 pts
Olympique LyonDWDWL3rd · 11 pts

Ahead of Monaco v Olympique Lyon in the Ligue 1 on 6 March 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Monaco the most likely outcome at 38%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.3 for Monaco and 1.3 for Olympique Lyon. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and 53% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Monaco goals down (↓), Olympique Lyon goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Monaco 1W · 0D · 1L.

Olympique Lyon1–2Monaco
Monaco1–3Olympique Lyon

Recent form

Monaco
Dvs Toulouse2–2
Wvs RC Lens2–1
D@ Strasbourg1–1
W@ PSG2–1
Wvs Marseille2–0
Olympique Lyon
L@ RC Lens1–2
Wvs Stade Rennais4–0
D@ Paris FC0–0
Wvs Auxerre3–1
Dvs Le Havre1–1
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Monaco winDrawOlympique Lyon win

FAQ

Who will win Monaco vs Olympique Lyon?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Monaco the most likely result at 38%. Full split: Monaco win 38%, draw 26%, Olympique Lyon win 36%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Monaco vs Olympique Lyon?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Monaco 1–1 Olympique Lyon). Projected goals: Monaco 1.3, Olympique Lyon 1.3.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring.

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