Footyntel.

Ligue 1 · Fixtures

Monaco vs Lorient — Match Prediction

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 30 · Sat 1 May, 00:00 UTC

Monaco win
57%
Draw
23%
Lorient win
20%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.8 – 1
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams score51%
ASMMonacoWWDWD1st · 14 pts
FCLLorientLWDLW8th · 8 pts

Ahead of Monaco v Lorient in the Ligue 1 on 1 May 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Monaco the most likely outcome at 57%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.8 for Monaco and 1 for Lorient. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and 51% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Monaco vs Lorient?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Monaco the most likely result at 57%. Full split: Monaco win 57%, draw 23%, Lorient win 20%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Monaco vs Lorient?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Monaco 1–0 Lorient). Projected goals: Monaco 1.8, Lorient 1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring.

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