Ligue 1 · Marseille

MAR Marseille — Season Outlook

Ligue 1 2026/27 · currently 17th · 3 pts · WLLLL

League table Title race Relegation battle

Win title

1.7%

Top 4

14.4%

Relegation

6.6%

Projected points48

Projected finish9th

Most likely finish9th

80% range4th–15th

Where Marseille finish

Champions 1.7%Top 4 14.4%Mid-tableRelegation 6.6%

Footyntel projects Marseille to finish around 9th in the Ligue 1 2026/27 — most likely 9th, with an 80% range of 4th to 15th — on roughly 48 points. Their chance of winning the title is 1.7%, of top 4 14.4%, and of relegation / play-off 6.6%. On current form they are likely to finish mid-table.

Season trend

How Marseille's title, top 4 and relegation / play-off probabilities have moved.

📈 Trend tracking has just started. This chart shows how the probabilities move through the season — it fills in as daily snapshots build up, so check back in a few days.

Marseille's remaining fixtures

Model win / draw / loss for Marseille in each match (H home, A away).

A Troyes50·23·27 11 Oct A Angers SCO47·25·28 18 Oct H Le Havre63·23·14 25 Oct H Toulouse58·20·22 1 Nov A RC Lens23·20·57 8 Nov H Le Mans62·19·19 22 Nov A Auxerre47·23·29 29 Nov H Nice68·19·13 5 Dec A Olympique Lyon19·22·60 13 Dec A Brest34·22·43 2 Jan H Lille35·27·39 16 Jan A Lorient35·26·40 23 Jan H Troyes70·17·13 30 Jan A PSG16·18·66 7 Feb H Angers SCO65·20·15 13 Feb A Strasbourg31·21·48 20 Feb H Stade Rennais54·21·26 27 Feb A Lille20·23·57 6 Mar H Monaco43·23·34 13 Mar H Olympique Lyon34·25·41 21 Mar A Le Mans40·22·37 3 Apr H Brest55·21·24 10 Apr A Le Havre46·28·27 17 Apr H Auxerre67·18·15 24 Apr A Toulouse37·23·40 1 May A Nice50·25·25 8 May H RC Lens41·23·36 16 May A Paris FC28·25·47 22 May H Lorient53·24·23 29 May

FAQ

Can Marseille win the Ligue 1 this season?

Footyntel's model gives Marseille a 1.7% chance of winning the Ligue 1 2026/27 title, currently 9th of 18 clubs by title probability. They are projected to finish around 9th on about 48 points.

Will Marseille be relegated?

The model gives Marseille a 6.6% chance of relegation / play-off this season. Their most likely finish is 9th, with an 80% range of 4th–15th.

Where will Marseille finish in the Ligue 1?

Projected finish: about 9th (most likely 9th), 80% likely between 4th and 15th. Title 1.7%, top 4 14.4%, relegation / play-off 6.6%.