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Ligue 1 · Fixtures

Lorient vs Marseille — Match Prediction

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 17 · Sat 23 Jan, 00:00 UTC

Lorient win
40%
Draw
26%
Marseille win
35%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.4 – 1.3
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams score56%
LorientLWDLW9th · 8 pts
MarseilleWLLLL17th · 3 pts

Ahead of Lorient v Marseille in the Ligue 1 on 23 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Lorient the most likely outcome at 40%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.4 for Lorient and 1.3 for Marseille. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and 56% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Lorient goals down (↓), Marseille goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Lorient vs Marseille?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Lorient the most likely result at 40%. Full split: Lorient win 40%, draw 26%, Marseille win 35%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Lorient vs Marseille?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Lorient 1–1 Marseille). Projected goals: Lorient 1.4, Marseille 1.3.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring.

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