Footyntel.

Ligue 1 · Fixtures

Marseille vs Troyes — Match Prediction

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 18 · Sat 30 Jan, 00:00 UTC

Marseille win
70%
Draw
17%
Troyes win
13%
Most likely score2–0
Projected goals2.5 – 1
Over 2.5 goals67%
Both teams score57%
MarseilleWLLLL17th · 3 pts
TroyesDWLLL16th · 4 pts

Ahead of Marseille v Troyes in the Ligue 1 on 30 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Marseille the most likely outcome at 70%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–0, with projected goals of 2.5 for Marseille and 1 for Troyes. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and 57% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Marseille goals down (↓), Troyes goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

3320008841001095200884100552100221000012345012345

Recent form

Marseille
Lvs PSG1–2
L@ Stade Rennais0–1
Lvs Paris FC2–3
L@ Monaco0–2
Wvs Strasbourg4–0
Troyes
L@ Angers SCO0–2
L@ Lille0–2
Lvs Strasbourg2–6
W@ Lorient2–1
Dvs Paris FC0–0

FAQ

Who will win Marseille vs Troyes?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Marseille the most likely result at 70%. Full split: Marseille win 70%, draw 17%, Troyes win 13%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Marseille vs Troyes?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–0 (Marseille 2–0 Troyes). Projected goals: Marseille 2.5, Troyes 1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring.

← Ligue 1 table & projection